04 December 2013

Given the choice?

by Isla MacFarlane

Banks in Malaysia are insisting their Muslim clientele avail Islamic banking products – even when they don’t want them





Every time I have interviewed Governor Zeti she has given me the same quote about Malaysia’s dual banking system; it gives choice to the consumer. Muslims have the option of banking in accordance with their faith – but what if they don’t want to?
“If you are Malay, they will assume you are Muslim and the banks will insist on giving you an Islamic product,” a lady from Malaysia told me today. “Few consumers are aware they have a choice, and if you try to object the banks aren’t helpful.”
Not wanting what she deemed to be a more restrictive product, the woman was annoyed to be given an Islamic credit card by her bank. “I did not want it,” she said. “I asked for a conventional credit card but they gave me an Islamic one anyway. I had to go down to the branch and put up a real fight to be given a conventional one.”
This practice is apparently widespread in Malaysia, where Islamic consumer banking has lagged behind the commercial sector. Although many of the large banks operating Islamic subsidiaries boast an equal number of Islamic and conventional clientele, the consumer is often unaware they have been given an Islamic product.
“They will simply receive a Takaful policy instead of an insurance one, and few question it. Many don’t understand what it is or that there was a conventional insurance policy on offer,” said the woman, who did not wish to be named.  “At the end of the day I want a product that best suits my needs, and I should be allowed to choose that for myself. Non Malays are given the choice, why aren’t I? It’s unethical.”
Ironically, Islamic banking is often promoted by governments as a way of granting the power of choice to the consumer. Nearly every central bank governor I have interviewed gives this as a reason for introducing an Islamic banking framework. And nearly every observer says Islamic consumer banking must be competitive to win over Muslims, and indeed non-Muslims. Nearly everyone agrees that being Islamic is not a selling point on its own.
American writer Mark Twain once said, “If voting made any difference, they wouldn’t let us do it.” Malaysia’s Islamic banks seem to have taken this to heart, and clearly don’t have enough faith in their products to let the public decide for themselves. Sadly, it is the power of choice that ultimately drives up standards, and if Malaysia’s Islamic banks allowed this they would end up with Islamic banking products customers wanted to choose. 

28 November 2013

Is winning Expo really so great?

by Tamara Pitelen

Will I get deported for even asking that question? Has there been a law rushed through in the last few hours making it illegal to even suggest an alternative view to the one currently being screamed from the rooftops about how winning Expo 2020 is the most awesome thing ever?





Last night, the world learnt that Dubai had won the bid to host the World Expo in 2020. The expectation of this win was so feverish that Dubai property and rental prices had already gone up in anticipation of it months before the win was even announced. Will daily life in the host city be so great for us ordinary folk living and working in the sector of Dubai where questions like, "has your wealth manager suggested a greater exposure to gold in your portfolio for 2014" don't get asked at our parties?
I know that Dubai's economic fundamentals are in a much stronger position than they were in 2008. At least, that's what I hear from the various economists I talk to about these things. So, we should not be heading for the kind of spectacular crash of that year. Still though, doesn't all this high-pitched 'Oh my gahd, we'll all be rich!' hysteria have a certain pre-crash feel to it? One of the daily papers this morning ran one of those vox-pop stories that where they asked a load of people what they think about the Expo win. One girl said it means: 'Money, money, money and party, party, party!'
If that's not a call out to the world's biggest speculators and scam merchants, I don't know what is.
On the flipside, I've already talked to a lot of people today who are worried about rent rises. One of my colleagues said to me, 'I got quite depressed about it [the Expo win], I don't know how we'll cope if property prices go up.'
Yes, I know, World Expos are wonderful things. They've given the world the typewriter, the zip, the Eiffel Tower, the ice-cream cone... etc etc and yes, I'm sure lots of amazing inventions and creations will be presented to the world at Dubai's Expo in 2020 but all the excitement and hysteria currently sweeping back and forth through Dubai isn't because people are anticipating the creation of a great monument or accessory that revolutionises fashion. No, people are excited because they know a truckload - many many truckloads - of cash are going to be spent on building the infrastructure for Expo 2020 and they are hoping that some of this cash gets into their pockets by way of pay rises, more job opportunities, richer people chucking their wealth about.
People are excited about the excitement and I think daily life in Dubai will involve a lot more time stuck in traffic jams and figuring out how to avoid all the new construction noise and mess. 
For the first time, moving to Abu Dhabi has appeal.

25 November 2013

Worth its weight in gold...


by Robin Amlôt

It has been a hectic few weeks in Islamic finance for conferences and reports. It seems you can’t move without somebody offering you opinion and analysis about the Islamic economy, opportunities in Africa, why Bahrain is still the GCC hub, how Dubai plans to take a global role in the future, etc., etc.,

But the story that has caught my eye in particular was the news that Dubai Islamic Bank is partnering with global human resource consultancy Aon Hewitt to develop a talent management platform for the bank and revamp its employee competency framework ‘in line with its vision and mission’ (whatever the latter part of that sentence may mean).
Talent is important, talent is expensive. Indeed, the word talent comes to us from the Ancient Greek as a measure of worth and quite a substantial amount of worth at that. A talent, according to Homer, was roughly the mass of water required to fill an amphora (Greek urn) and thus equivalent to around 26 kilogrammes. Count your gold in talents and you are talking serious money. Which probably means that the old music hall joke which begins, “What’s a Greek urn [earn]?” is probably even older and more whiskery than originally thought and may well have had them groaning in the aisles in Ancient Greece itself!
But I digress. The point of the excursion into the etymology of ‘talent’ is a roundabout way of saying that properly nurtured and managed talent is indeed worth its weight in gold. Aon Hewitt’s role with Dubai Islamic Bank is to develop a programme to improve the bank’s assessment of its employees’ performance and ensure they possess the required knowledge, skills and abilities to excel at their jobs.
The bank aims to ‘build the career path of our employees and focus on the development of high potential employees’, according to Obaid Al Shamsi, Chief of Human Resources and Administration.  The bank will, he said be ‘able to institute practices to train and motivate our employees, retain the best amongst them and build a succession plan for leading the bank in the future’.
No matter how exciting the prospects for the global Islamic economy, and the potential certainly is exciting; it will not be realised without the help of a dynamic financial sector. That necessary dynamism is, let us be honest, sometimes a little difficult to spot. It is a given that there appears to be talent shortage in Islamic finance. Yet this should not be the case. Institutions of higher learning in several continents are churning out graduates with Islamic finance qualifications.
However, too many of them appear, still, to be unable to find employment in their chosen field of endeavour. Others find jobs but find themselves stifled. The resource, it would seem to me, is being squandered. Against that backdrop, I find myself cheered by the commitment by Dubai Islamic Bank to its programme of ‘Employee Engagement’. Talent is precious. Talent should be nurtured. The junior employees management engages with today are the management of tomorrow who will face the greater challenges, and one hopes, realise the yet greater opportunities of the global Islamic economy.

21 August 2013

Bitcoins - the debate rages

by Tamara Pitelen

A couple of people have sent me emails after reading my blog Bitcoin for Beginners a couple of days ago. One of them was a bit mad at me. I'll get to him in a minute.



A couple of people have sent me emails after reading my blog Bitcoin for Beginners a couple of days ago. One of them was a bit mad at me. I'll get to him in a minute.
My first email correspondence over the bitcoin issue was with Julian Tosh, who lives in Las Vegas and has a website called www.bitcoinsinvegas.com. He said: "Trying to earn bitcoins online is less profitable than mining. Offer a good or service and you'll have more luck - or simply buy them from someone or a business like CoinBase.com.
"If you'd like to buy them from an individual, you also might benefit from their experience and learn some easier or more secure ways to do things. I recommend trying to meet someone through localbitcoins.com or bitcoin.meetup.com."

Julian also holds weekly bitcoin lunch mobs in Las Vegas so if you're in town and interested, go and say hi from me. I asked Julian if he earned and spent bitcoins on a regular basis and did he see  future when we'd all be paid in bitcoins, pay our rent and buy our groceries in bitcoins?
He said: "I earn bitcoins, buy bitcoins, and spend them just about every day. There is a growing community of adopters in many major metropolitan areas. In Las Vegas, I have a group of about 60 people who meet regularly to keep up to date and participate in the Bitcoin economy. Here in Vegas, there is a dentist that works for bitcoin, a real estate agent that will let you buy/rent/lease properties for bitcoin, a mechanic will fix your car for bitcoin, and numerous food establishments that will feed you for bitcoin.
"I see bitcoin as a competitor to all money systems. It has properties that are better at times, and not so good at times. But where it shines is its frictionless ability to transfer value/wealth over distance. It is impossible to send 10g of gold to someone in another country for payment. It is expensive to send the same value in fiat due to banking fees. But it is very easy and inexpensive to send that same value in bitcoin to any location in the world. There is no counterparty risk with bitcoin, no way to regulate maximum amounts you can send, and no way to reverse a payment.
"This is a brand new globally accessible currency and the world is only now beginning to understand its properties and benefits. It's not surprising it's not ubiquitously used. But due to the ease at which it can be used once you learn it, I'm confident that it will be accepted everywhere eventually - just like credit cards were not always accepted at all merchants 20 years ago."
Thanks for that Julian! Very interesting.
Second, there was Mike Gehl - I don't know where he's from - who emailed me and wrote:
"I think you're missing the point of digital currencies if you think the only way to acquire them is by filling out surveys and watching videos. People aren't going to just hand you an ounce of silver - you need to  dig it from the ground, earn it, or exchange something of value for it. Bitcoin is the same.
"The most important part of the Bitcoin system is the payment network - not the currency aspect. Currently, one of the most pervasive problems with credit cards & online transactions is identity theft and fraud. A consequence of this leads to 2-3% credit card processing fees along with charge-backs levied on merchants. This results in overall higher prices to consumers. "
"The Bitcoin system solves this problem and this should be your story. Bitcoin enables near Instant, secure, global transactions facilitated by minimal processing fees on a network trusted by its users (no banks, no governments required)."
My reply to Mike was, yes, I know I'm missing the point... endeavouring to get the point is the idea behind the experimentation. Theoretically I understand that having a global payment network that bypasses the banks and finance houses has masses of advantages but I'm taking it to the realm of the common woman and man. How do I get these things in everyday life. My boss won't pay me in them, my landlord won't accept them for rent, I can't buy my groceries with them.
I can envisage a future of a global digital currency - I'd love that to manifest actually. I do wonder though if Bitcoin needs to work on its reputation though, when you start investigating them, you end up with a lot of gambling opportunities and links to dodgy websites.
However, here's another interesting development in the last few hours. Germany has just officially recognised Bitcoin as legal tender, calling it 'private money' - which basically means they're going to tax it like any other income source.
Finally, a mystery. I checked my Bitcoin account balance this morning and it's grown! I now have BTC 0.010012. I don't know where that BTC 0.01 came from but it's equivalent to about 72 pence! I'll be getting that Mr Zombie Geek mug in no time.
Keep the emails coming if you want to continue chatting about bitcoin - write to me at tamara@cpifinancial.net - if someone can explain this 'mining' concept to me, awesome. I've read many explanations but still I don't get it.

Reff: http://www.cpifinancial.net/blog/post/22595/bitcoins-the-debate-rages

19 August 2013

Bare necessities

 

by Isla MacFarlane
 
Is Islamic finance merely a luxury the majority of the Muslim world can't afford?


The head of an angel investor fund from Egypt laughed when I asked her if there was any demand for Islamic loans. “No,” she replied firmly. “There is demand for money. They don’t care where from.”
In fact, ninety five per cent of the Muslim world does not have access to Islamic finance. And they don’t seem to mind. I’m not talking about Muslims living in non Islamic territories – out of the countries which boast a Muslim population of 98 per cent or more, the vast majority, including Afghanistan, Algeria, Azerbaijan, Comoros, Jordan, the Maldives, Morocco, Niger, Tajikistan, Tunisia, Somalia and Yemen either have no domestic Islamic finance industry, a pocket-sized or an embryonic one. Only Iran, Iraq and Turkey feature on the list and have an industry to speak of.
The world’s largest Muslim countries don’t fare much better. Indonesia, home to 12.7 per cent of the world's Muslims, has a tiny domestic industry which pales in comparison to its neighbour Malaysia’s. Pakistan, the second largest, has been making progress but its conventional banks still dwarf the few Islamic institutions. India, the third largest Muslim country, has yet to open one Islamic institution.
It seems Islamic finance is not considered a necessity in the majority of the Muslim world, especially in countries where a sizeable number of the population does not have enough money to open a bank account. It is born out of business needs, rather than fundamental ones.
As one of my contributors, Rushdi Siddiqui, pointed out to me recently, this is the opposite of Islamic finance’s much larger cousin, the Halal industry. All must eat, and Muslims will only eat Halal.
With its surplus liquidity, it seems a good way for Islamic finance to make itself relevant to the wider Muslim world would be to invest in the capital-hungry Halal industry. As Siddiqui pointed out, with so little access to Islamic finance, many Halal businesses are reliant on conventional funding. Ironically, this means that Muslims may eat a Halal burger but may not be able to invest in a Halal burger chain.

Tried and tested - Bitcoin for beginners

by Tamara Pitelen

Are bitcoins the future of money or are they a bit of a con? Tamara Pitelen tries them out for size. 



I’ve been hearing a lot about bitcoin lately. Apparently this is the currency of the future. Fast forward a decade or two and currencies like the euro and swiss franc will be history, we’ll all be earning and spending bitcoins. That’s the theory from what I can gather… but I’m not convinced so far.
What are bitcoins? The first decentralised digital currency, the pundits say. Essentially, they are digital coins you can send and received via the internet into and out of your online bitcoin wallet.
Bitcoin cheerleaders say it’s a new kind of money and ‘the biggest opportunity for innovation that the world has seen since the industrial revolution. An idea whose time has come!’
It all sounds great but how do you earn and spend these bitcoins? I figured the best way to understand bitcoins is to use them. So, to find out what it was all about, I first downloaded the software at www.weusecoins.com to create my online bitcoin wallet. This also gave me a bitcoin address, which is: 1JfhhT1PAW8quKCt4qbbvg61nfS54Y4NVx. Doesn’t exactly roll off the tongue.
Ok, I’m ready to spend but my bitcoin bank account is empty, which  begs the question, how do you earn bitcoins?
One way you can earn them is by watching videos at www.cointube.tv which is where I watched someone called Chef Ricardo making home-made Jamaican-style vegetarian pizza. Chef Ricardo’s video was 10 minutes 51 seconds long. I don’t think Chef Ricardo is really a chef. He’s a guy who’s making a pizza in his kitchen using ingredients out of a jar. Frankly, life is too short to watch this stuff.
Worse, despite the website promising to pay me 20 uBTC* for stealing that 11 minutes of my life, the money did not turn up in my Bitcoin Wallet.
I went to several other websites that claimed to offer ways to earn bitcoins but for one reason or another, none of them worked. These included: www.iwantfreebitcoins.com, www.coinvisitor.com, www.bitcrate.com, www.coinad.com, www.netlookup.se... There are hundreds more websites that claim to give ‘free’ bitcoins in return for doing things like filling in surveys, downloading software or Facebook apps, staying on a website page for three minutes, or watching videos but in my experience it just never worked out to be that easy. For example, I started filling in a survey at www.abitback.com but a few pages into the survey – at the nationality question – the survey suddenly stopped and I was basically told I didn’t fit the brief of the people whose details were desired. At other websites, I was told ‘this offer is not available in your country’.
During this afternoon of experimentation, I earned BTC 0.000008 for viewing a website page for one minute at www.earnfreebitcoins.com. So I watched that page a few more times until I’d racked up the mighty total of 0.000012. Next, at www.bitcoin4you.net, I earned BTC 0.000028 for looking at a website page for three minutes.
In the end, after an afternoon’s work, I’d had earned the princely sum of BTC 0.00004. What can you buy with that? One of the online stores that accept bitcoins is UK-based www.somethinggeeky.com where a Mr Zombie geek mug sells for £8.99. I’d need BTC 0.13 to buy that mug since £1 is worth about BTC 0.01. Unfortunately, my BTC 0.0004 is worth less than one pence.
Worse, it turns out the bitcoin network won’t relay transactions that have a payment of less than BTC 0.01 unless you pay a transaction fee of at least BTC 0.0001 (that's 100 uBTC) per kilobyte. So if I earned 200 uBTC, I’d have to pay a fee of 400 uBTC just to send it somewhere! In other words, the rewards of my afternoon’s toil would be spent on transaction fees.
So far, my verdict of bitcoin is ‘a bit of a con’. Am I missing something crucial about this ‘money of the future?’ Tell me where I’m going wrong! Email me at tamara@cpifinancial.net

*1 mBtc is Btc 0.001
1 uBtc is Btc 0.000001


http://www.cpifinancial.net/blog/post/22566/tried-and-tested-bitcoin-for-beginners

31 July 2013

Why we should all be sharing our numbers, and the reason that cephalopods don't rule the earth

by William Mullally

Though there are compelling reasons why many companies in the MENA region don't share all of their figures, ultimately there are big benefits for doing so. 


At last month’s Arabnet Digital Summit, a wonderfully successful event in my estimation, one of the more exciting moments happened when the founder of one e-commerce site called out the CEO of another while the latter sat on a panel discussing issues affecting the space. The questioner asked, pointedly, why the panelist’s company, like many others, refused to divulge its exact revenue figures. The crowd was riveted by the confrontation. When the panelist responded, he gave an equivocal answer that didn’t seem to satisfy the question-asker.
When the panel ended, the crowd was abuzz with the moment. Many I spoke to, including those who work in the same space, found it the highlight of the day, and more importantly, agreed with the questioners call for transparency.
Personally, I can understand his hesitation to share exact figures, and the hesitation of other companies in that space. If you have a private company, in this part of the world, you are under no legal or often ethical obligation to share what is indeed private information. Some of the largest and most successful companies in the region see no real benefit to divulging their exact numbers, even if those numbers are overwhelmingly positive. And culturally, this is, for the most part, accepted. This is the way things have always been done.
In the global business world, though, many have the sense that if you don’t talk about your numbers, that’s because those aren’t in fact very good. We all winced when Blackberry didn’t fully reveal the sales numbers on its new line of Blackberry 10 phones last month, as it was clear to most analysts that this meant those numbers were below expectations. Companies tend to boast loudly about success and quietly whisper when things aren’t going their way.
As a result, some view those in the still-nascent e-commerce space in the MENA region who won’t talk about their numbers as a signal of just that—things aren’t going their way. Some I spoke to at the conference said to me that they feel that these companies aren’t doing as well as they would have others believe, and as a result they feel the need to puff out their chest so future customers don’t see them as failures and move along. This is understandable—no one wants to have the whiff of failure attached to them, and in the digital space, companies go from “the next big thing” to “yesterday’s news” every day. (Sometimes when I’m overwhelmed and need to clear my head, I go visit Myspace or Google+, as they are good places to be alone.) So if the numbers are in fact bad, maybe it’s better to stay quiet than to speak up and remove all doubt.
One of the big problems with going public is the need to constantly impress shareholders on a quarterly basis, which sometimes hurts the long term.  Sometimes then, it makes sense to hold your cards close to your chest in the early days, in order to work towards long-term goals rather than focusing on the short-term. But there are huge benefits to sharing numbers, too. If companies are forced to share, they are kept more honest, and this ultimately eases investment. It also allows others to learn from your success and mistakes, which is after all what makes humans so successful in the first place.
To get a bit off topic and sound a bit ridiculous for a moment (but bear with me I’m going somewhere with this): Cephalopods should really be ruling the earth. They have much more basic intellectual potential than humans do. But it is their lack of a natal stage, in which their parents teach them everything they have learned, that stops them from developing as a species. Every cephalopod born is born all alone, and must discover the world on his own having learned nothing from those that came before him. What makes humans great is that we develop, and all that we have learned throughout history is passed on to the next generation. It’s what allows us to better ourselves, and move forward.  The more information sharing the better, I’d say. And if we really want to improve the e-commerce space in this region, so that it can grow to the level that it has in other parts of the world, then we’re going to have to get a lot better at sharing our information with each other, so we can figure out how exactly to make this big experiment work.

Original post : http://www.cpifinancial.net/blog/post/22277/why-we-should-all-be-sharing-our-numbers-and-the-reason-that-cephalopods-dont-rule-the-earth

Electric and hybrid cars in the UAE

by Tamara Pitelen


When it comes to cars, I’m your typical girl. Sadly, I’m not the woman who’s going to be smashing any stereotypes any time soon. However, recently I’ve been investigating the world of ‘green’ cars in the UAE, namely cars powered solely or partly by electricity as opposed to petrol, and it's been quite revelatory.


With levels of air pollution around the world literally killing people – seven million per annum globally at last count, of which 850 deaths are here in the UAEˡ – more people are choosing to buy cars that do not belch out clouds of toxic greenhouse gases.
Electric and hybrid cars like the Toyota Prius and Tesla are an increasingly common sight in countries like the UK and US but here in the UAE you could spend a very long time on Sheikh Zayed Road before you spot one. Why? The main reason is obvious. Petrol in this region is cheap therefore there is not the financial incentive to buy an electric or hybrid car. Interestingly though, I discovered it’s more complex than that. There are several other main factors that are preventing the uptake of electric and hybrid vehicles in this region. I will get to those in a minute because I want to tell you something else I found quite a revelation as well. The sector here in the UAE that is driving (excuse the pun) the move to more environmentally-friendly cars is the High Net Worth Individual (HNWI) end of the market. I know! Who knew all those rich people that often get tarred with the ‘selfish’ brush would be the ones leading the way on green vehicles?
Here in the UAE, it’s extremely difficult, in fact nigh on impossible, to buy an affordable electric or hybrid car such as the Toyota Prius. However if you want to buy a high-end premium brand hybrid, no problem at all! The main hybrids available here are Porsche (AED 485,000), Karma Fisker (AED 500,000), McLaren P1 (AED 3.7 million) and Lexus (c AED 300,000). Of all these companies, it's Porsche that's offering customers the most when it comes to options and servicing.
Managing Director Porsche Middle East & Africa George Wills said, “We have always believed that our customers should have access to the entire model range, including our hybrid offers. We don’t follow the general trend, we want to set it. It is important to start building up the awareness and confidence in customers for hybrid models in this region; only through this, the general acceptance will increase.”
In the UAE, Porsche offers the Cayenne S Hybrid, Panamera S Hybrid and Panamera S E-Hybrid. The world’s first plug-in hybrid in the luxury class, the Panamera S E-Hybrid’s fuel consumption is 3.1 litres per 100km and reaches a speed of up to 135 km/h in pure electric drive mode. This year will also see the unveiling of the 918 Spyder, the first ever hybrid super sports car with a total of 887 hp combined from three engines, an acceleration from 0 to 100 km/h in less than 2.8 seconds and an average consumption of a mere 3.3 litres per 100 kilometres.
What will it cost you? A Panamera S Hybrid goes for AED 485,000 in comparison to its petrol equivalent, which will cost you AED 462,000. The Cayenne S Hybrid will cost you AED 326,000 while its petrol equivalent goes for AED 307,000.
Let’s get though to why there is little to no electric or hybrid cars available in the more mainstream market. First, where would you top up your battery? Currently, there is one single public recharge station in the UAE, that’s in DIFC. So, unless you live in a villa and have your own exclusive garaging with power points available, you’ve got nowhere to recharge the battery on your nice, environmentally-friendlier car.
Second, where will you get your car serviced? Electric and hybrid servicing is a different skill set to servicing a regular car. A car dealer would need to hire staff that can do it and would need to have different equipment and parts in stock for maintenance and repair of green cars. It seems that no one other than a handful such as Porsche are willing to make this investment unless they start to see increased demand for hybrid vehicles.
It’s a bit ‘chicken and egg’. No one will buy a green car until the infrastructure is available and no one is going to invest in the infrastructure until people start buying more green cars.
What’s the answer? A couple of things need to happen and most of them probably need to be government driven. For a start, there needs to be more financial incentives as have been introduced overseas, for example, carbon and emissions taxes for petrol polluters. This would make companies that have a fleet of company vehicles more likely to consider the emissions component of their vehicles.
In addition, more public solar powered charging stations need to be built. A country where the sun shines almost every day of the year could be an international leader on solar powered cars and technology if the initial investment were made.
I would not be surprised if we do see more legislation introduced in the UAE to cut the nation’s carbon footprint. The UAE authorities understand the issues with air pollution and the government is monitoring air pollution and murmurings have been heard regarding initiatives to cut emissions. Although, in a country where there is such a deep love of fast, powerful cars, this might not happen quickly.
Still though, the seeds are being sown and the winds of change are blowing – we may very well be witnessing the beginnings of the demise of the traditional petrol powered car.

 For more about luxury green cars in the UAE, read the Aug-Sept issue of WEALTH magazine. The digital version is on the website from 5 August at www.cpifinancial.net

Original Post  : http://www.cpifinancial.net/blog/post/22284/electric-and-hybrid-cars-in-the-uae

30 June 2013

Unilever on the green high road


by Tamara Pitelen

I recently had a fight with the Chairman of Unilever MENA, Sanjiv Mehta.  Well, ‘fight’ is a strong word, there were no fisticuffs, Sanjiv did not pull my hair nor I his. ‘Heated disagreement’ is probably more accurate. It was at the Unilever MENA conference on the first year of its Sustainable Living Plan.



I recently had a fight with the Chairman of Unilever MENA, Sanjiv Mehta.  Well, ‘fight’ is a strong word, there were no fisticuffs, Sanjiv did not pull my hair nor I his. ‘Heated disagreement’ is probably more accurate. It was at the Unilever MENA conference on the first year of its Sustainable Living Plan.
The Unilever Sustainable Living Plan was launched globally in 2010, it was rolled out in MENA in 2011 year ago and the ethos is commendable. Unilever’s aim is to double the size of its business while halving its global environmental footprint by 2020.
Sanjiv gave the opening speech…
“I am a capitalist at heart,” he said, “…however capitalism is not a cure for all ills. If you look around us, one third of the population still lives below the poverty line and if you look at the way we are consuming our natural resources, it is at a rate that is one and a half times more than the earth’s ability to replenish resources. If you were to compare with the rate at which Western Europe is consuming, we would need three planets.
“There are more than two billion people living in water scarce regions of the world… about a billion people go to bed hungry every day, and every six seconds a child dies of malnutrition.”
So far so sobering and if Sanjiv was running for office, he’d have my vote. He continues…
“In 2010, Unilever launched the Sustainable Living Plan. And the whole idea of a sustainable living plan was to create a new business model. What are we talking about when we speak about Unilever’s Sustainable Living Plan? We are not talking about charity; we are not talking about philanthropy, we are not talking about cause-related marketing, we are talking about a new business model where we decouple our growth agenda from our environmental footprint. We cannot in the world today spend ourselves or waste  ourselves to prosperity, that’s absolutely impossible, that’s not the kind of planet we want to leave for our children and grandchildren, that’s the reason why we have looked at creating a new business model…
“Our vision is very clear, that we will be doubling our business while we reduce our environment footprint. It is not at the cost of growth. We are not saying that we will stop growing to reduce our environmental footprint, what we are saying is that we will decouple growth with our [environment impact]. We are saying that, while we double our business, we will halve our environmental footprint, it is an audacious goal.”
Indeed it is. But kudos to Unilever, they’ve made some great strides. Some highlights are:
  • 36 per cent of all their agricultural raw materials were sustainably sourced by the end of 2012 and by 2020 their aim is to source 100 per cent of all agricultural raw materials sustainably.
  • Waste impact per consumer has been reduced by seven per cent
  • Their greenhouse gas impact per consumer has been reduced by six per cent since 2010
The biggest achievement in my opinion though is the switch to only using palm oil from certified sustainable sources. Unilever is one of the world’s largest buyers of palm oil for use in products such as margarine, ice cream, soap and shampoo. They purchase around 1.3 million tonnes annually, which is about three per cent of the world’s total production.
The human race's use of palm oil has been destroying the planet.
On the Unilever website it states: “More than 80 per cent of palm oil is grown in Indonesia and Malaysia and the rapid expansion of the industry has accelerated deforestation. An area the size of Greece is cleared every year. Deforestation accounts for some 20 per cent of all greenhouse gases – making Indonesia the third-highest emitter after the US and China.”
The other big achievement for Unilever, I think, is tea.
Sanjiv said: “Two out of every three cups of tea that are consumed in this region are Liptons tea. And what we are saying is that 100 per cent of the Liptons tea in teabags will be sourced from sustainable sources as certified by the Rainforest Alliance by 2015. And 100 per cent of the tea consumed in tea packets as well will be sourced from sustainable by 2020. It’s a big goal but we are on track and I’m absolutely confident that by 2015 whatever tea bag you consume with the brand Lipton you will be guaranteed that it is sourced from sustainable sources.”
So, good on Unilever for all it is attempting to achieve by way of reducing its impact on Mother Earth. However, some of the points Sanjiv made regarding environmental ‘successes’ of Unilever were not so convincing and smacked to me of ‘green washing’. Namely, the assertion that the increased use of Lifebuoy hand soap has saved water – an increasingly scarce resource.
Sanjiv’s argument was that Lifebuoy kills 99.9 per cent of germs in 10 seconds while conventional soap takes 20 seconds – a 50 per cent water reduction!
Sanjiv said: “Lifebuoy handwash kills 99.9 per cent of germs in just 10 seconds. Ordinary soaps can take up to 20 seconds which means you save up to 50 per cent of water while you kill germs. Switch to Lifebuoy handwash and save water.”
Whaaaat? To me this was a nonsensical deduction. Do people have a stopwatch running while washing their hands? Does anyone really think, ‘just another two seconds of rubbing and all those germs will be dead!’
Sanjiv was happy to report that sales of Lifebuoy had grown 25 per cent in the last couple of years. Which means a whole lot more plastic waste produced when the bottles end up in landfill not to mention all the water used to actually make the handwash.
Sanjiv didn’t like the word ‘nonsensical’.  He suggested I wasn’t clever enough to understand the logic.
Unilever, you seem to be genuinely making great efforts to reduce your carbon footprint. For that I heartily commend you! Really I do. I wish more huge companies were making more efforts in this area. But don’t go casting doubt over the real achievements you’ve made by lumping them in with claims that don’t seem to bear scrutiny.
Come on, people buying more of your products is not saving the world’s water supplies. For a start, water is the first or second biggest ingredient in many of your products… I happen to have two of them here, a tube of Signal toothpaste and bottle of Lux body wash.
Water is the primary ingredient for the Lux while the second ingredient is Sodium Laureth Sulfate (SLS), a common foaming agent that has come under scrutiny for safety and potential toxicity issues. I’m sure you know that all SLS does is make a product foam, which people believe is getting them cleaner. But it’s not, is it. SLS has no impact on getting anyone cleaner, does it, it just makes foam.
In fact, SLS is a toxin that easily penetrates the skin and enters the blood stream. SLS has shown up in the tissues of the brain, liver, heart and other vital organs. There’s a whole host of other dodgy sounding ingredients in the Lux bodywash as well, things with names like methylchloroisothiazolinone but I won’t go into those now or this blog will end up a book.
Let’s have a quick look at the Signal toothpaste. Water is the second biggest ingredient and good old SLS has sneaked is as well – to make people think all that foam is getting their teeth cleaner.
Unilever, if you insist that the growth in sales of Lifebuoy hand wash have indeed meant the world has seen a 50 per cent reduction in the use of water for equivalent levels of handwashing over the last two years, fine, get back to me with an explanation that even thickie stupidos like me can understand. Email me that explanation and I will add it to this blog.
tamara@cpifinancial.net

Notes on a scandal


Money talks – and the decision to remove the only female face from Bank of England banknotes says it all 

Ada Lovelace

Since news broke that social reformer Elizabeth Fry was to be retired from Bank of England banknotes and replaced with Sir Winston Churchill feminist campaign groups have been in uproar, furious at seeing their gender’s contribution to their nation further marginalised in the history books.

It was hardly a surprising choice, seeing as how any Brit educated within the last 20 years thinks British history consists solely of England saving the world from Germans, and it says everything about just how out of touch the suited men at the Bank of England are with the people who carry those notes around.

In a rather patronising attempt to placate the masses, Britain has been promised a female understudy should Churchill’s banknote fall victim to a spike in fraud. And the hotly-tipped contestant? English author Jane Austen, often mistakenly referred to as the first writer of chick lit.

Even as a fan of the author’s books, I can’t help feeling this populist choice is a patronising, further under-valuation of women’s contribution to British history. Surely there are more worthy choices who have contributed more to the making of Britain, even to literature?

If we must have the Second World War connection, why not the lesser-known Beatrice ‘Tilly’ Shilling – the engineer who created a simple but brilliant solution to correct a serious defect in the Rolls-Royce Merlin, which powered the RAF to victory?

Or how about Rosalind Franklin, whose critical discoveries about the fine molecular structures of DNA helped the world understand how genetic information is passed on from parents to children?

And has everyone forgotten about Ada Lovelace who, as creator of the world’s first computer algorithm, is often considered the world's first computer programmer?

We’ve had iconic nurse Florence Nightingale on a banknote in the past, but heaven forbid we promote Margaret Ann Bulkley, a.k.a. James Barry, the pioneering British military surgeon who had to live her adult life as a man to successfully carry out vital work improving conditions for wounded soldiers and native inhabitants.

If we must confine women’s achievements to the creative arts, England’s first professional female literary writer Aphra Behn, philosopher Mary Wollstonecraft, social reformer Annie Bessant or revolutionary journalist Mary Anne Evans, a.k.a. George Eliot, all seem more influential choices.

It is argued Jane Austen is a relevant choice given how prominently money features in her work, but, while she is and will rightly remain enduringly popular, is she as relevant today as 10 years ago?

Adaptations of her work peaked in the ‘90s, more recently Hollywood has been showcasing the works of F. Scott Fitzgerald and Victor Hugo, who wrote of the great chasms between the rich and poor.

On that note, perhaps Jane Austen’s contemporary Elizabeth Gaskell who documented the struggles of the poor, wrote of the growing resentment between underpaid workers and overpaid masters and tensions between step families would be a more relevant choice for today’s world?

This is not to decry Jane Austen’s work, of which I am a huge fan, or devalue the fast-paced comedy, biting irony and social commentary she contributed to the world of literature.

It just seems a safe choice made by men believing they are choosing a token woman for women, instead of acknowledging a person who has contributed to their world – perhaps, even today, that would be too threatening.

Of course, if one wanted to be really radical, one could suggest there is room for more than one female candidate on the seven banknotes currently in circulation.

21 May 2013

NBK: GCC outlook positive despite oil price drop

by Isla MacFarlane

The fall in oil prices to below $100 per barrel over the past few weeks has triggered some concerns over the potential impact on the Gulf region’s economy, said a recent report from NBK.



“Brent crude prices fell by some 19 per cent from their peak of $119 in February to a low of $96 in mid-April – the first spell below $100 since last July,” it said. “The decline was particularly sharp in the first half of April, when prices were undermined by poor news on the global economy and generally weak sentiment.
“Prices have since bounced back slightly from these lows, reaching $104 in early May partly in reaction to the cut in interest rates from the European Central Bank. But they remain well off their highs. Futures market prices have also fallen, pricing in a more pessimistic medium-term view than before. The Brent December 2013 contract recently traded at $103 compared to $111 in mid-February.
“In our view however, the latest fall does not alter the main narrative of a region set for solid economic growth over the next couple of years. We had long expected oil prices to weaken in 2013 from last year’s average of $112, as the soft outlook for global oil demand combines with rising supplies (including from the US, Iraq and Libya) to loosen market fundamentals. The recent fall merely moves prices more or less into line with our expectations for this year.
“Indeed, despite the more pessimistic view in the futures market, it is still too early in the year to say that prices will remain at this level throughout. Temporary factors may have contributed to recent declines. Oil markets often loosen around this time of the year as seasonal factors – including moderate temperatures and refinery maintenance – reduce the demand for crude. This could reverse as we head into the summer. Moreover, geopolitical tensions relating to Iran and North Korea have eased of late, but could yet re-emerge.
“But even if prices remain close to current levels (or fall slightly lower), there is no need for the region’s growth dynamic to fundamentally change. The latest fall in oil prices may have cost around $60 billion (4 per cent of GDP) in lost budget revenues for the region as a whole over the course of a year. But this income would have been mostly saved rather than spent, so its loss has limited direct impact on business activity; what matters for demand in the economy is the amount of their income that governments actually spend.
“Moreover, even at $100 oil, the region’s financial position looks fairly robust. Estimated fiscal breakeven oil prices for 2013 generally lie in the $70-100 range (Bahrain, at $125, is the exception – see chart 2), and for most countries, they are toward the lower end of that range. In aggregate, the region is likely to see a large budget surplus of around 8 per cent of GDP this year. The combination of fiscal surpluses and large existing financial reserves suggests that governments will have little problem financing their medium-term development plans, which remain central to the region’s current growth story.
“Reserves did not prevent the global crisis of 2008 having a major impact on the region. GCC non-oil GDP growth slowed to just 3 per cent per year in 2009 and 2010 (on average) from 10 per cent in the previous three years, as oil prices, asset markets, trade levels and business confidence all weakened sharply. Without the spectacular growth of gas-fuelled Qatar, the impact would have been greater still.
“But in many ways, growth in the region’s economy now looks more durable than before. This is partly because growth now is more subdued than in the pre-crisis days; a shock to the system would be less severe. Other vulnerabilities such as elevated asset prices, extraordinary growth in credit, and heightened real estate speculation have also been purged. And in the current post-Arab Spring environment, governments with financial resources are likely to remain committed to spending measures that support living standards for nationals, as well as medium-term development projects.
“Over the long-term, GCC countries undoubtedly face some tough challenges, particularly on job creation and fiscal reform. However, economic growth over the next couple of years is still likely to outperform that in many other parts of the world (and indeed the rest of MENA), some of which will remain bogged down by financial austerity and structural issues. (See chart 3.) We continue to look for growth in the GCC non-oil sector of a solid-looking 5 per cent in both 2013 and 2014.”

Gold iPads for Burj Al Arab in-house guests

by Robin Amlôt
 
Burj Al Arab has introduced bespoke 24-carat gold iPads for its in-house guests. The exclusive launch makes Burj Al Arab the first hotel in the world to offer the Interactive Customer Experience (ICE) software available on the 24-carat gold iPads.

The 24-carat gold iPads, designed specifically for Burj Al Arab and engraved with the hotel’s logo, will be offered to every guest upon check-in. Guests will be able to use the 24-carat gold iPad as a “virtual concierge” and - at the touch of the button - access both information and the extensive selection of hotel services, such as the Guest Services Directory, detailed descriptions of Burj Al Arab’s restaurant options and spa menu, as well as private dining, butler and housekeeping services, among many other options.

“Our exclusive Burj Al Arab 24-carat gold iPads epitomise Jumeirah’s philosophy of STAY DIFFERENT and further enhance our guests’ experience during their stay”, said Heinrich Morio, Burj Al Arab’s General Manager. “We have also recently introduced iMacs inside all our suites to ensure that we offer thoroughly modern guest experiences and keep up with hospitality industry trends.”

"The Gold & Co. London 24-carat gold iPad is the ultimate in luxury accessories, hence we wanted it to be paired with Burj Al Arab, the world's most luxurious hotel. The symmetry is obvious, as both the gold iPad and the hotel are unique in terms of extraordinary quality and design", said Amjad Ali, CEO of Gold & Co. London.

23 April 2013

A little faith too much to ask?


Are consumers really drawn to the ethical appeal of Islamic finance, or will it always come down to which bank offers the best freebies?
It is often said that Islamic finance is not just for Muslims, but for anyone interested in ethical investing. As a non Muslim with an Islamic current account, I know this only too well – only it was the monthly millionaire draw that won me over, not the idea of sharing equal risk with a corporation far richer than me.
I was interested to hear from a contributor of mine who estimates that 90 per cent of Muslims still prefer conventional finance, but not entirely surprised. With a universe of conventional ethical funds only the most devout will confine themselves to what remains a limited choice.
Charity begins at home. Research shows time and time again that while consumers like the idea of ethical brands, they will still buy whatever’s on special offer that week. I gave up the idea of saving the world by using an environmentally friendly washing liquid when I realised I needed something that actually cleaned my clothes. Consumers will buy what is cheapest and what works. Or, of course, whatever they are familiar with.
Yet more research shows people in the western world are more likely to end a relationship with their spouse than they are their bank. People don’t like change.
This may explain why Islamic retail banking has been slower to take off than the commercial side. So what can a new industry do to drum up support?
I confess the millionaire draw did it for me. Outside the corporate world, where Islamic finance is muscling in on the mainstream and serious investors are snapping up opportunities, consumers are won with flashy offers and clever branding – the complexities of the contract and the good it will do for the wider world is lost on your average punter – including me.
It is pointless preaching transparency to people who don’t understand what they’re looking at. Islamic finance must evolve to be consumer-friendly as well as business-friendly if it wants more customers.

18 April 2013

Why you should care about Maggi stock cubes in Nigeria

by Tamara Pitelen
Did you know that people in Nigeria drink more Guinness beer than in the US or in Ireland? No, neither did I till a few hours before the earthquake that hit Iran on Tuesday [which, just as an aside, was felt frighteningly strongly by those of us sitting on the 33rd floor of the CPI Financial offices in Dubai Media City].


Why you should care about Maggi stock cubes in Nigeria - cpifinancial.net

I learnt that fascinating little fact about the Guinness-loving African nation at a Mutual Funds conference sponsored by Allfunds Bank - it was an excellent event. I also learnt that every day in Nigeria, 60 million cubes of Maggi food stock are sold for less than 10 cents each. If you include the whole of West Africa, 100 million Maggi cubes are sold per day.
This is why Africa, in particular Nigeria, has asset and wealth managers so very, very excited. The demographics are the kind that make asset managers sing and skip. About 150 million people most of whom the median age is 19.
N-n-n-n nineteen [random reference to 1980's hit anti-war song by Paul Hardcastle that has nothing to do with Nigeria but may press home the point that these people are YOUNG. As a comparison, the median age in Europe is 40s, which does not inspire much dancing from wealth managers].
Sure, most Nigerians may currently be living on $1 to $2 a day but, as you can see from the Maggi stock cubes example, the quantity of people means companies targeting this market are still making a lot of money.
Why are so many stock cubes sold per day? I’m glad you asked because it’s very interesting. This is what Senior Portfolio Strategist for Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM) Katie Kochs had to say about it, while speaking at the Allfunds Bank Mutual Fund Connection conference:
“The good news story coming out of Nigeria is that it’s had the strongest improvement in its Growth Environment Score… and if it continues to improve at this rate, it’s possible that Nigeria will be larger than South Africa in the next 10 years. If you project very far out, it could actually have an economy the size of Germany by 2050.”
Ok, here’s the bit about the stock cubes. Maggi make three flavours, chicken, shrimp and beef. According to Koch, there are three positive attributes of the wee cube. First, it tastes good. “It flavours food, so if you’re living on a couple of dollars a day, you can’t afford to buy beef or chicken or shrimp to put on the table for your family but you can afford to buy this cube. So you make a vegetable based meal, you add this and you get the protein flavouring that you might not be able to afford,” Koch said.
“Second, it’s fortified with a couple of different micro nutrients, iron and iodine. In Nigeria, 25 per cent of pre-school aged children could be classified as anaemic because of iron deficiency in their diet. Iodine is extremely important for pregnant mothers, they have to have enough in their diet for foetal brain development.” The company has gone out of its way to spread this message and educate Nigerian mothers about the importance of iron and iodine for their children.
Third, stock cubes are cheap. Families living on a shoestring can afford them.
Why is this all so very exciting for wealth managers? Because it’s a specific and very real example of one of the biggest – if not THE biggest – themes for global economic growth in the next decade or so, namely the rise of the domestic consumer in developing markets.
When millions and millions more people in Africa and Asia have greater discretionary income, it’s big news for companies providing basic goods in areas like healthcare (painkillers), personal grooming (shampoo, soap, toothpaste, etc), food products, and more.
As a result, GSAM have companies like Maggi in their portfolio as well as a Nigerian beer company, for reasons that should be obvious based on the first sentence of this blog.
I’ll give Koch the last word on this, “the consumer story is really important to growth markets over all, I’m extremely excited… if I had to pick a theme within the theme that I was most excited about, it is the rise of the domestic consumer.
“We think by the end of this decade, we think we’ll have over one billion individuals entering the emerging market middle class. It is going to have a dramatic impact on the fortunes of both developing and developed market companies.”

Read More : Why you should care about Maggi stock cubes in Nigeria

Female billionaires


Ten per cent of the world’s billionaires are female – many of whom are now coming out of China where communism has bred some great capitalists… what would Chairman Mau say to that?


Ten per cent of the world's billionaires are women.

An interesting little fact crossed my desk today. Did you know that on the recently released 2013 Forbes Billionaires list, there are now 1,426 names. All these super wealthy people own about $5.4 trillion between them. That’s up from $4.6 trillion last year. (Big thanks to Forbes for doing all the investigating involved in putting these figures together.)

Which is fascinating in itself and reveals that there is still a whole lot of major wealth creation going on in our economically troubled world. But here’s the thing that really struck me. Of the 1,426 people named as billionaires, just 138 of them are women. This is an increase on last year’s total of 104 female billionaires but is still a fairly poor percentage (9.6 per cent) when you consider that women make up 50 per cent of the world’s population.

In addition, according to The World Bank’s 2012 World Development Report, women represent 40 per cent of the world’s labour force but hold just one per cent of the world’s wealth.

Many, many people who are much cleverer and bigger than me have written oceans of text on the various reasons why women lag so far behind men when it comes to claiming their share of its wealth and being compensated equally for their labour so I’m not going to go there – I think most rational people will agree that if girls are denied access to education and married off at age 12, then it’s not a huge surprise to find they’re not sitting on the board of a large multinational corporation later in life.

It’s not all bad news for women though, in fact there’s a lot of good news. Globally, $20 trillion of spending is controlled by women and that’s expected to rise by another 40 per cent over the next five years, it was stated on the recent BBC series on wealth called Changing Fortunes. Not only that, it seems we might do a bit better than the fellas when it comes to inheritance because, according to Boston College’s Center on Wealth and Philanthropy, women will inherit 70 per cent of the $41 trillion in intergenerational wealth transfer expected over the next 40 years.

The World Bank’s 2012 World Development Report also found that, “Since 1980, female participation rate at each level of income has increased sharply... women now account for more than half the world’s university students.” Hurray!

Commenting on this, the BBC series Changing Fortunes said that, “As birth rates fall, discrimination decreases and educational opportunities improve and THUS the growing feminisation of wealth seems likely to continue.”

But let’s move on because there are some really interesting trends now emerging in the world of women and uber wealth. In a nutshell, the majority of the world’s richest women got that way through marriage or inheritance, however the number of self made women is on the rise and it is Chinese women who are taking the lead.

About 30 per cent of China’s millionaires are women and the nation is home for 11 of the world’s 20 richest self-made women. One of them is Zhang Lan, the CEO of South Beauty Food and Beverage, an upmarket chain of restaurants. Lan was profiled on the BBC’s Changing Fortunes episode called The Feminine Touch. Her brand is now worth $400 million and comprises 80 restaurants. She plans to have 100 by 2014.

What is it about China that has unleashed this female entrepreneurial spirit? Surprisingly and ironically, it’s their Communist upbringing that has made them such great capitalists. Growing up under Chairman Mau, who famously said ‘women hold up half the sky’ and a brand of communism that asserts everyone is equal has meant Chinese women have grown up believing that as long as they go out and work hard, nothing is stopping them.

According to the recent Boston Consulting Group’s (BCG) report entitled ‘Driving Growth: The Female Economy in China and India’, China's female economy will grow from $1.3 trillion in 2010 to $4 trillion in 2020 – a tenfold increase in 20 years.

For investors looking to cash in this means that “understanding what Chinese and Indian women want - their devotion to their children, their desire for safe and nutritious food, their fondness for affordable luxury, their brand consciousness - will be critical to the success of companies operating in these markets”, BCG states.

So it’s all very good news for Louis Vuitton et al. “China’s female economy is already strong—and over the next few years, we expect to see it grow even stronger. In particular, young professional women will break into middle and top management jobs and fuel the next wave of growth in the luxury business,” BCG’s report states.

The difference between women in China and India is marked, states the BCG report. In India, there is still “significant gender discrimination, limited access to education, low formal labor-participation rates, and low wages”.

“The female labor-force participation rate has been stuck at around 32 percent since 2000, while female wages have actually declined to 26 percent of men’s wages, on average. This decline is driven by repressive, education-stunting conditions in rural areas as well as by a government unwilling to step in and end discrimination, harassment, and physical threats.”

So come on India, lift your game. Don’t you want an army of go-getting successful businesswomen contributing to the country’s GDP as well?

Anyway, if there is anyone out there who would like to see the number of female billionaires leap by one to a total of 139, I would be more than happy to fill that position. I’ll just need someone to invest in my latest project at the discount bargain, no-wait-there’s-more price of one billion dollars.


SOURCES
  1. Female Billionaires
  2. Forbes Billionaires List 2013: http://www.forbes.com/billionaires/
  3. Changing Fortunes is a co-production by D&E and Films of Record for BBC World News. Filmed with the sponsorship of Coutts Private Bank and airing from February to March 2013, the episodes of the show can be viewed at: http://international.coutts.com/en/news-and-insights/bbc-changing-fortunes/
  4. Boston Consulting Group’s report entitled ‘Driving Growth: The Female Economy in China and India’ report available here: http://www.bcg.com/expertise_impact/publications/PublicationDetails.aspx?id=tcm:12-119928